【0808美股】做空美股的观点没变化。不过开盘先止损了做空苹果 $aapl 目前仓位大概1/3做空,2/3现金。
解释一下我为什么做空:第一,我不是日内交易,我做一个波段。这个波段我认为是从上周7.30的fomc会议开始的,当时收盘价6360,其实到今天没啥变化。也就是说,这一周的下跌-上涨,对我来说只是“波动”,不是“波段”,而我的波段基本观察没变化,所以我的交易也没变化。(2)
第二,从上周730的fomc会议之后,我逐渐加大“做空”,还有一个原因是当前iv在下降,这是适合“建仓”的时机,所以我趁机建仓。。。总的来说,我对目前的情况,感觉还挺ok的。一切正常啊。(3)
第三,我每天在研究美股,基本能感知资金的动作。最近多头资金其实有点“疲”,比如我昨天为什么开仓做空 $w 因为它是一个典型的动量股。动量股的下行,往往是美股“先行一步”。。。总之,我不是“预测”,而是在“观测”。而我的观测认为730之后市场下跌-上涨是“波动”,而“波段”趋势大概率下行。(end)
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