If you define crypto trends as:
Short - 1-2 weeks
Medium - 1-2 months
Long - 4+ months
Then I am highly bullish short, bullish medium, neutral long. (obviously bullish on super long term crypto else why would I be here everyday).
BTC working through a negative MACD curl on the monthly, however is working towards a bullish MACD curl on the weekly.
This gives me confidence that short term is highly bullish, medium term is bullish, and then around end of January into February we will be at a strong crossroads.
My thesis for the last 2-3 week has been beaten down alts will heavily outperform.
We are seeing that with Fartcoin, SPX, and Turbo.
Laggard alts like Pengu and Wif and Moodeng starting to catch strong bids as well.
These things are so beaten down that a lot have 2x+ potential in the cards over the next month.
Leading Alt trend has been Privacy, led by ZEC.
ZEC is dealing with upside headwinds from a massive upside price extension. However, rising tide lifts all boats and could see it drift up. ZEC and betas like STRK are putting in reversals that could lead to 7-14 day rally. I like STRK as a beta with a clean 2x upside potential. The concern here is that people take profits and rotate into other stronger moving coins, which is a likely scneario.
"Revenue" meta seems to be a fading narrative, and we can see that in Pumps price action.
An exception to this is Perps meta. I think it's significant to see Frank take such an interest in Perps trading.
Hyperliquid continues to dominate and is putting in it's first light red bar on the MACD. Due to the pullback it has strong upside from here and could potentially go back up to $50 on the back of strong fees from alt trading.
Hyperliquid is also seeing hundreds of millions of dollars in daily trading volume on stock perps. This is one where I'm accumulating more spot on the pullback. I still believe in this longterm.
In summary, I think alts are a great trade for the rest of 2025 and that's where I think I can accumulate the best ROI. I will take those profits and decide what to do heading into Q1 2026.
Cheers.
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