Recent Developments in Crypto Prediction Markets The crypto prediction market is showing strong growth, with notable new trends in trading volume, institutional participation, and product formats.
Market Size Full-year nominal trading volume is projected to reach $30 billion, up 40% year-over-year. Leading platform Polymarket is expected to exceed $35 billion in total trading volume in 2025. Regulated platform Kalshi is forecast to achieve an annualized trading volume of $50 billion in 2025, capturing over 60% of the global market share.
Mainstream Media Adoption Major outlets like CNN and Bloomberg have begun live-broadcasting odds data from Polymarket. Integration with broker channels: Regulated platform Kalshi has partnered with equity broker Robinhood, bringing prediction market access into mainstream financial apps.
Product Formats and Innovations Social Integration: Platforms like Myriad and Flipr embed betting interfaces directly into news feeds and social conversations, enabling a seamless "browse-bet-discuss" experience. Trading Mechanism Upgrades: Shift from AMM (Automated Market Maker) to CLOB (Central Limit Order Book) and Event Perpetuals (Event Perps) to enhance liquidity and trading experience.
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